Epidemic slowdown predictions

Models show that it is possible to reduce the number of hospitalized Covid-19 patients from the current 9,000 to 3,000 by mid-April.

The number of hospitalizations could begin to decline next week, the director of the Institute of Health Information and Statistics (ÚZIS) Ladislav Dušek predicts. At the moment, the epidemic is stagnating or starting to slow down. The R-number stands at 0.9 and is driven by the more contagious British mutation.

The closure of several districts in the Karlovy Vary and Hradec Králové regions already has its effect on the numbers. The measures that started at the beginning of March are also slowly being reflected.

According to Dušek, the decline of the epidemic will be gradual. Models show that there should be an average of 7,500 cases per day at the end of March, 5,000 in mid-April and 4,000 a day at the end of April.